Edvard stated: source post
ThenFuckit stated: source post
I even work with risk assessment, part of the business logic.
Get a backup job.
Just because you do not understand this extremely simple concept?
Every average adult has a smaller chance to be a great person then every child. This is a fact, not faith. Do you disagree?
Ofc I disagree. There are adults who WILL become a great person, and the chance of a random adult BEING one of those who became a great person is just as big as the chance of a random kid to become a great person: X.
No this is not true.
Lets say there is a pool of people where there are X% great people.
There is X% chance that any random adult there already is a great person.
Now pick a random child, there is 0 chance that they already are a great person. But they have aX% chance to become a great person. Say they have the average parents and money and status and all things are average.
Now wait a few years for the child to develop into an adult and examine these 3 possibilities:
- the adult has no education, no job, he is homeless : does this adult still have X% chance to become a great person? Or is it a much lower value?
- the adult has a normal education and a normal job, just like all his peers, has no specialty whatsoever. Here is where you can argue if he still has X% to be a great person. I think this person still has a high amount chance to be a great person, but i think its less then the starting X%. Because he could of been exception till now, but he has not been and now he has less time to be exceptional.
- the adult was perfect in middle/high school and he was perfect in university, become a scientist in fields that almost no one knows about, except a handful of people on the planet. This person has a higher then X% chance to become a great person.
Clearly the X% chance of a kid to become a great person will change as they age. So a kid has a different chance to become a great person then an adult person has. And on average, this % will decrease.
If 1 in 100 adults is great, then the chances of a random kid to become great is X= 1%. If you choose a random adult from the crowd, the chance of them being great is X=1%.
Yes i do not disagree with this. But i never talked about if an adult is gonna be a great person, or if an adult can become a great person. Those are different values and every value adds to the overall value of a person. The chance to be a great person is a fixed value. The chance to become a great person is a value that changes as you age. On average it decreases.
As a child turns into an adult, the persons chance to be a great person goes down. Do you disagree?
Yeah I do. It can very well increase.
Yes it may. But the average person is not a great person, so on average it will decrease.
Since i have attributed value to the chance to be a great person, the overall value of the person goes down.
You have attributed wrong values.
Maybe i have, but i think a person that changes the world is worth millions of people. Which makes any chance to create such a person very valuable.
Also, the chance of an adult becoming a great person is a different variable then the chance of an adult being a great person, you dimwit.
You are overcomplicating it. We were strictly talking adults vs children. I lumped in together the adults who have already achieved their greatness potential with adults who WILL achieve their greatness potential.
You have to also lump the adults that will not achieve greatness. Those are the majority.
How does it translate into the sex trafficking industry?
Is society closer to a sex industry to you, or a work industry to you?
The question was if i can sell a seed or a tree for more. You used this as an example for people.
So if i am selling a person and i want to sell them for the highest amount of money, i won't care if society is anything. I will only care where can i get the highest value. So if i have an adult and a child and i can only sell one of them, i will look in all industries for each of them and pick the one where they cost the most.
Inquirer stated: source post
ThenFuckit stated: source post
So an average adult has a smaller chance to be a great person then an average kid and you know this for a fact. And since the chance to be a great person has a very high value => an average kid has more value then an average adult, since an average adult has 99.999..% to continue to be an average adult, while a kid has 99.995..% to become an average adult(less %, so a kid has a greater % to be a great person).
Don't patronize me with super basic graphs, lol.
The potential of a kid is a hidden value. When the kid becomes an adult that potential is revealed, right? It does not change. Given this, the only difference between picking a random kid vs a random adult is whether you get to know their potential (or achieved potential) from the start or not.
This assumes you do not get to groom the kid or that, like TPG mentioned, the resources available to the kid is greater than those the adult had to work with.
Yes, this is a good point, it is a hidden value. And yes this is the only difference.
So the more correct way to say this, is to say that the variable which attributes great value to a child and not so much to an adult, is not the potential of a child to become a great person, but rather the known potential to become a great person.
If you can know for sure how a child will turn up, you will probably prefer an adult, even if you do not know anything about an adult.
But no one knows that for sure for any child.