ThenFuckit stated: source post
If 1 in 100 adults is great, then the chances of a random kid to become great is X= 1%. If you choose a random adult from the crowd, the chance of them being great is X=1%.
Yes i do not disagree with this. But i never talked about if an adult is gonna be a great person, or if an adult can become a great person. Those are different values and every value adds to the overall value of a person. The chance to be a great person is a fixed value. The chance to become a great person is a value that changes as you age. On average it decreases.
I can't put it to you more clearly than Inky. WTF does estimated potential matter at all? WTF does your estimate potential of a child matter if you KNOW it's going to drop later?
All this discussion was about future chances vs present chances, which are in value exactly the same. Rather seeing an adult die than a kid, you would sacrifice a potentially present "great/genius" person for a potentially "future great/genius" person, that's all. I disagree that that's in any way logical.
Children are important and we are wired to protect them and value them for one reason: they are the future of our species. The only merit they have, is that they will outlive us. That is ALL that matters on a natural scale. Perpetuation of the species.