The big company CEOs have started to see that AI can't replace dev people's jobs.
And I actually don't think it will happen even in my entire life. It may replace a small number of the worst devs.
I wouldnt bet on what will happen in our lifetime. 2060s will be the most dramatic decade of perhaps the entire human history, but we dont know what happens then. You'll live to see it.
When I started using Claude, I thought maybe, but now that I have used it for many different projects, I don't see it anymore. It just made my work easier, but if you are not me, you can't do what I do, even with AI. Not on this level and at this quality.
Id be happy if AI takes over portions of my job and we break the current physics knowledge barriers. However as of now AI can't keep up with me because of its fundamental limitation in base technology, which relies on interpolation concepts and not curating new data. Trying to get AI to curate new data for itself leads to mode collapse, and fundamentally it's limited by Bayes theorem.
@Jada
I think the google/gpt issue comes from the education system. It should force people to learn how to learn and have good tests. It should be more punishing, so people are forced to understand what they Google and what they GPT. So they don't use minsinformation and hallucinations.
Agree, education should force an understanding. The Google effect a documented phenomenon. It's true that you can do digital detox or, say, find ways to use AI with less digital amnesia side effects. However, no matter what we do, fundamentally what AI pushes people towards is higher abstraction with less understanding of the low-level details. I think it is an acceptable trade-off, because we don't need to always know, say, how a computer works at the micro level to use it. However, betting on the trade-off must be a conscious one.
And yes I absolutely agree it's a problem in how we design AI and educate people in its use.
I think Books, Wikipedia, Google, and GPT are all enhancers of your base level. The education system needs to increase your base level and teach you how to use those tools. There are plenty of books that are also wrong, ofc its not so easy to find them, you would normally go to the standard books, and that is because it's harder to find them... Maybe the solution is also to make an AI that is education-approved or a website that is also approved. There are many ways you can handle this. But to stop using advancements and technology is wrong. You need to learn to use them properly instead.
We agree more or less, except Id add some clauses regarding the part about limiting technology.
I predict everyone will come back crying to me when skynet takes over the world and I am the only one who can survive without technology.
And btw, its probably coming for real. Play this in your head: If all AI does is interpolating knowledge, testing hypotheses against known results, it's currently confined by two factors, training data, and computing resources.
The way to get around both is to start utilizing AI robots, which can curate their real world training data and build specialised hardware. Once that happens, AI has the potential to surpass humanity. Then its a question of will we control it or not.