i wish we all had access to cool problem solving AI
You are a problem solving AI.
i wish we all had access to cool problem solving AI
You are a problem solving AI.
I AM SOURCE
One of my favorite examples of how throwing time, money, and effort into something doesn't reach the end goal is Indias failure to establish semiconductor manufacturing and Chinas failure to establish advanced semiconductor manufacturing.
Lagging but motivated: The state of China’s semiconductor industry
Although the United States is home to a majority of the world’s leading semiconductor firms, no country has true independence in the semiconductor value chain. The United States depends on critical foreign inputs and manufacturing capacity in the rest of the world. The manufacturing chain for any given semiconductor is extraordinarily complex and relies on as many as 300 different inputs, including raw wafers, commodity chemicals, specialty chemicals, and bulk gases; all are processed and analyzed by upwards of 50 different types of processing and testing tools. Those tools and materials are sourced from around the world, and are typically highly engineered. Further, most of the equipment used in semiconductor manufacturing, such as lithography and metrology machines, rely on complex supply chains that are also highly optimized, and incorporate hundreds of different companies delivering modules, lasers, mechatronics, control chips, optics, power supplies, and more. The “installed base” within a semiconductor factory today represents the cumulation of hundreds of thousands of person-years of R&D development. The manufacturing process that integrates them into a single manufacturing chain could represent hundreds of thousands more.
The types of products for which these manufacturing processes are designed are nearly as varied as the manufacturing inputs themselves. There are at least 20 major semiconductor product categories (from optical sensors to battery management modules to CPUs) and each category usually contains hundreds of different stock keeping units—distinct items for sale—for specialized applications. This complexity leads to a large market filled with myriad niches, in which specialized world-class companies have built defensible market positions through decades of targeted research and development.
Complexity also makes semiconductors a winner-take-all industry. The top one or two players in any given niche—whether a small one, such as furnaces, or a giant one, such as server CPUs—earn all the economic profits in that niche due to scale, learning efficiencies, and high switching costs for customers. It is rare to see newcomers break into these oligopoly positions. For instance, the market leader in graphics processing units (GPUs), Nvidia, invented the segment in 1999 and never relinquished its lead. While China has early-stage startups in the GPU segment, its market share is essentially zero. TSMC, based in Taiwan, was the first dedicated competitor in the foundry segment and has not relinquished its lead in its 33-year history. Indeed, SMIC, China’s leading competitor in the foundry segment, remains four or five years behind TSMC in technology, despite almost two decades of investment.
TSMC and Samsung are establishing new fabrication facilities in the United States, and the U.S. doesn't do much advanced semiconductor fabrication anymore so a lot of the old infrastructure is gone. The U.S. knows how to establish that infrastructure and has the supply chains and work force to actually maintain this industry. TSMC and Samsung obviously know how to manufacture advanced chips. Despite all of that actually getting that new industry up and running will take at least 5 years with great effort and more realistically something like 8 years.
India is now trying again to establish fabrication capacities as of 2022 but again a lot has to go right for a new player to enter the field.
China will at this point likely never have advanced manufacturing capabilities given the United States has banned the export of any of the key technologies and materials necessary to do it.
Food works the same way except instead of it being a very niche area of competition between first world nations, its something the whole world relies on but only a few nations can produce in excess.
Again i would like to point out that as we speak the worlds largest Wheat Belt just went offline in 2022 because its owners are actively killing each other. You can't throw money at that and suddenly get that Wheat Belt back online.
US is switching to domestic microchip development now, though.
US has been taken over by 70iq troglodytes so it's too late.
US is switching to domestic microchip development now, though.
US has been taken over by 70iq troglodytes so it's too late.
People don't have to be smart, they just have to be able to interface with society.
To press a button, you don't need to know how to make buttons.
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last edit on
12/11/2022 5:01:35 PM
US is switching to domestic microchip development now, though.
US has been taken over by 70iq troglodytes so it's too late.
People don't have to be smart, they just have to be able to interface with society.
To press a button, you don't need to know how to make buttons.
>this is what boomers genuinely believe.
welp gg boomers ill just keep drinking milkshakes at mcdonalds because I don't care anymore.
US is switching to domestic microchip development now, though.
Not development but fabrication.
The U.S. has been the world leader in development and design for a very long time, but we off shored our fabrication capabilities to Japan and Taiwan back in the 90's. We literally taught them how to do it which is why they became the world leaders.
This is a hard industry to set up even if you've done it before and know exactly what you're doing, so it will take at least five years for actual scaled production.
Nice recent vid on the topic TSMC coming to the U.S.
Another interesting industry that takes much more than just money is jet engine manufacturing, specifically for Military use.
Chinese engines, despite the Chinese having stolen designs and Russian examples, still lag the U.S. and Russia and engine design and manufacturing by a long ways. the WS-10 which is Chinas most advanced mass produced engine cannot match the thrust of a F110 (F16) or AF-31 (Su27).
It takes decades to build up the expertise in the materials metallurgy and manufacturing to successfully mass produce advanced propulsion systems like the F119 (F22) or F135( F35). Effectively, the Chinese are still learning how to master engine manufacturing its competitors master in the 1980's.
The J20 and J31 may look like 6th gen fighter aircraft but they are insanely under powered and that's really bad given a air war energy is everything.
If you're broke and living in poverty, it isn't smart to procreate.
When they are smarter we'll see less human suffering, otherwise they'll need endless charity for lifetimes for generations.
Generational wealth will be consumed by generational poverty in such a way, 6 billion dollars won't last long.
Rich people in general have thousands of people to pay. For the rich, to donate away their wealth will eventually shrink their operations and decrease how many employees make money to look after their own families. This is 1 reason why rich people create charities and collect donations.
As for Elon. His smear campaign started when he first offered to buy twitter, so of course CNN will send the NPC's.