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10 / 112 posts
Posts: 32798
0 votes RE: DONALD TRUMP is going t...

Also does the polling really reflect a projected winner when the popular vote isn't what judges it? 



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last edit on 10/19/2020 7:34:57 PM
Posts: 507
1 votes RE: DONALD TRUMP is going t...

The Fox News and CNN polls probably only show the popular vote. Check this site to see a more comprehensive analysis.

Posts: 2266
0 votes RE: DONALD TRUMP is going t...

As I understand the aggregate is a decent ~ and I mean decent at best. 

The problem is politicians and the media only use singular polls that support their narrative. 

Posts: 5402
1 votes RE: DONALD TRUMP is going t...

I'm pretty sure that nigga's done for. Trump lost his 2016 magic, majorly. 

Posts: 2266
0 votes RE: DONALD TRUMP is going t...

The Fox News and CNN polls probably only show the popular vote. Check this site to see a more comprehensive analysis.

 Lmfao fivethirtyeight  and Nate are hilarious if you follow their content regularly, they've lost a lot of their magic. 

last edit on 10/19/2020 7:54:42 PM
Posts: 507
0 votes RE: DONALD TRUMP is going t...

Their political analysis isn't anything spectacular but from what I've seen their modeling seem sound.

Posts: 5402
0 votes RE: DONALD TRUMP is going t...

Hm yes modeling indeed the statistics are fine good sir, according to my calculations the trajectory of the population deficit is bound to continue as planned hmnyes

Posts: 2266
0 votes RE: DONALD TRUMP is going t...

Their political analysis isn't anything spectacular but from what I've seen their modeling seem sound.

 Overall I like their methodology as well, but I've been noticing its decline in accuracy. 

 I'm not really sure why, though. 

 The political landscape has aggressively changed since Nates golden age predictions so I find that the obvious reason but in so far as not     being able to find proper data that compensate for regularity of the skews is weird. 

 I'm starting to think that all collection methodologies cannot be accurate and as such bad data in is just the norm even if your methodology   is sound. 

 2016 is statistically speaking one of the most interesting elections ever and honestly I hope 2020 is the same given what it can teach us  about modeling. 

Posts: 3134
0 votes RE: DONALD TRUMP is going t...

I showed you guys a real poll in 2016. It is the Arizona Freedom Alliance. I can't find the map but it's very accurate to the actual election results that took place months after this poll was created.

Posted Image

When it comes to fake news and fake polls, It's still a tough pill for some of you to swallow, which is why you're easily manipulated by the mainstream, here I see you trying to make sense of why your trusted fake polls are way off. It's because the mainstream media is a political tool with an agenda to have you think alike. 

EDIT: I'll just add this. 

Posted Image

 

Also. The 2016 popular vote was found to be fake too, though they never really made a big deal about it on the news.

.

.

.

As for actual politics, the typical left wing voter doesn't know them.

Posted Image

Not only will Biden repeal Trump's tax cuts, he will implement higher taxes, ( for everyone considering how he'd undo Trump's tax plan ). 

Under Biden, If you make 400k or more a year, You'll be slashed by more than half of what you've made. Better to make less if you can't make 800k or more a year.

I borrowed that last image from 50 Cent's twitter feed as he had a cow and endorsed Trump.

Will Trump win ? Easily. It'll be an even greater landslide victory, and the ones left in shock will be the ones who paid mind to the lies they were fed by mainstream media.

- DNC cheated Sanders again, and gave you Biden

- People aren't impressed with the riots in Democrat run states, which turning into shitholes ( Don't move there )

- People don't want tax hikes

- Biden is less popular than Hillary. ( Hillary is also unpopular )

- Russian Collusion. Was a hoax.

- Every negative report of Trump hasn't aged well. 

- Biden's long list of policies are widely plagiarized from Trump's policies ( Never in history did the Democrats offer such things. They are notorious for unfulfilled promises though. 

- DNC is now calling Hunter Biden's revelations "The Work of Russian bots". The truth in this matter is Biden is guilty of what they tried to impeach Trump over. Of course some of you don't know this cause the news never told you about it last year, while us conspiracy nuts are ahead and doesn't find any of this new.

Some people don't know or recall any of this, nor do they care. They will comply with their programmers. Some will be enraged with the results, some will be left scratching their heads, some will have tantrums and live in a bubble of ignorant resentment while entitled to the greater blessings Trump provides their nation.

last edit on 10/20/2020 2:46:12 AM
Posts: 2266
0 votes RE: DONALD TRUMP is going t...

I showed you guys a real poll in 2016. It is the Arizona Freedom Alliance. I can't find the map but it's very accurate to the actual election results that took place months after this poll was created.

Posted Image

When it comes to fake news and fake polls, It's still a tough pill for some of you to swallow, which is why you're easily manipulated by the mainstream, here I see you trying to make sense of why your trusted fake polls are way off. It's because the mainstream media is a political tool with an agenda to have you think alike. 

EDIT: I'll just add this. 

Posted Image

 

Also. The 2016 popular vote was found to be fake too, though they never really made a big deal about it on the news.

.

.

.

As for actual politics, the typical left wing voter doesn't know them.

Posted Image

Not only will Biden repeal Trump's tax cuts, he will implement higher taxes, ( for everyone considering how he'd undo Trump's tax plan ). 

Under Biden, If you make 400k or more a year, You'll be slashed by more than half of what you've made. Better to make less if you can't make 800k or more a year.

I borrowed that last image from 50 Cent's twitter feed as he had a cow and endorsed Trump.

Will Trump win ? Easily. It'll be an even greater landslide victory, and the ones left in shock will be the ones who paid mind to the lies they were fed by mainstream media.

- DNC cheated Sanders again, and gave you Biden

- People aren't impressed with the riots in Democrat run states, which turning into shitholes ( Don't move there )

- People don't want tax hikes

- Biden is less popular than Hillary. ( Hillary is also unpopular )

- Russian Collusion. Was a hoax.

- Every negative report of Trump hasn't aged well. 

- Biden's long list of policies are widely plagiarized from Trump's policies ( Never in history did the Democrats offer such things. They are notorious for unfulfilled promises though. 

- DNC is now calling Hunter Biden's revelations "The Work of Russian bots". The truth in this matter is Biden is guilty of what they tried to impeach Trump over. Of course some of you don't know this cause the news never told you about it last year, while us conspiracy nuts are ahead and doesn't find any of this new.

Some people don't know or recall any of this, nor do they care. They will comply with their programmers. Some will be enraged with the results, some will be left scratching their heads, some will have tantrums and live in a bubble of ignorant resentment while entitled to the greater blessings Trump provides their nation.

 There is no better and easier way to lie than statistics.

10 / 112 posts
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