by Legga
Maybe you should stop using logic to try and justify your arguments when obviously you don't support using it.
There is definitely real logic that can be followed in vast majority of decisions. Some decisions are based on logic derived from statistics and some are based on unwilful ignorance (making assumptions that contradict simpler, more general assumptions). Then there are the idiots who make decisions based on wilful ignorance.
For example:
If I go to the casino I would normally assume my wins and losses are based on the rules of the given game. When I get a situation where I am faced with a 1% win and 99% lose chance with a win-loss of 1chip-10000chips, I conclude that I should not bet. This is assuming money is important to me.
An idiot who refuses to follow logic (I hope this is not you) and understands all of above might just shout FUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUCK! I CAN DO THIS!!!! and throw the dice in. Maybe he'll win that one chip if he's lucky but he's still an idiot.
Now the person who is suffering from unwilful ignorance; he's the person that goes to the casino and disregards the rules. Instead, he believes that he will win money by smiling very widely to the casino staff when he hands in his chips. At the end of the day he's lost all his money. The reason he lost his money is because his assumption was incorrect. A smarter person would have derived his logic from simpler, more general assumptions. Yet the second idiot's logical error is not as dire as the first idiot's. In fact the second idiot followed logic.
Another very down-to-earth example:
You assume blue houses are better than red houses
You really want to buy a good house
You have two houses, blue and red, and you want to buy the better one
You buy the red house
Your decision does not make sense, given the assumption
I never said I don't support logic, that's an illogical assumption on your part. I responded to those who claim logic is the answer to all problems, when it's just a limited tool. And we are not to believe ourselves, or even aspire to be, these walking talking logic-machines.
Your casino example is very clear cut, but just as I was saying, life isn't. What odds would you consider alright to place a bet? And how do you choose that number if not by adding some extra "feelling lucky/hopeful" to it? Because I'll ask you for a cold logic reasoning behind your answer and you won't be able to give me one.
The second example is typical of someone dumb, yeah. Still, maybe he was dumb enough to assume wrongly, so in the end, he ended up with the better house. And not following good logic was an advantage in his case. Get what I mean?
The most important decisions in life are at the same time too complicated to be solved as a simple equation.