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Am I actually an idiot?


Posts: 980

I've thought about this a lot lately.

I always used to think that I'm really smart. I wasnt particularly proud of it, but it's something I notice. 

I excel at math, I tend to pick up on everything, I listen very carefully, I was the youngest faculty hire in recent history, my PhD was completed in record time, and I started my research before I got to University.

However, lately I've been wondering if what Spatial said is correct and I really lack some sort of fundamental sense that everyone else has.

It's true; I don't have the same sense of shame as normal people do after I trained it away, I tend to be hyper focused and I can keep my attention for much longer than anyone in the room I've ever met, save for one Spanish girl who drained me of my mental energy with constant questions in a conference few months back, and I don't feel as genuine as those around me. I also believe I am very hyper aware, like, I know perfectly what kind of picture I'm painting of myself by writing this post, and I tend to tailor to that view.

The question I've been thinking about is whether or not I really am actually an idiot. It would be such a blissful self-realisation because frankly I'd have so many more things to learn from those around me. I learn many things from you all, but just not very intellectual things, because I feel like intellectually I'm vastly superior.

But I've been giving it serious thought. If I were really delusional and I wasnt actually that smart, then how could I find out? I thought that I could find out if I challenged a smart person, e.g., spatial to a test of intellects, I'd be able to find out by being defeated. However, since he refused, and claimed that by refusing he actually won, I tend to think that rather than being motivated by the belief that I'm an idiot he was motivated by insecurity over me believing I am smarter than him.

I don't know why people feel insecure about it. Why can I not be smart without people feeling offended over it? Maybe that's the sense I lack, I dont take pride.

I think the reason I'm objectively intelligent is because I keep testing the hypothesis over and over again, and I always seem to prove myself to be smart. Isn't that objective?

last edit on 6/12/2026 1:10:01 PM
Posts: 212
0 votes RE: Am I actually an idiot?

You know my dad was a PhD in physics wanted to be a theoretician - and JD and his brother was two time Harvard, so I may take the usual bias, but the kind of people I have wondered about recently having a certain kind of cunning are in tech sales. I wouldn’t have given sales a second thought but it takes a certain kind of intelligence to overcome objections, and repeatedly, down to a science and these people close 6-7 figure deals. I’d like to make a study of how they do it.

Do you think you have THAT kind of intelligence?

For example, a simple exercise is “sell me this pen”. I have never (not yet) formally learned how to do it.

I don’t know I think I would say something like “a famous person XYZ uses this exact type pen”. That’s all I got.

Posts: 931
0 votes RE: Am I actually an idiot?

Is anything objective in a temporary universe? The more you try to beat out answers the more emptiness comes to fill that hole. 

Posts: 35545
0 votes RE: Am I actually an idiot?
Am I actually an idiot?

Yes, but being meticulous helps with hiding it. 

Ę̵̚x̸͎̾i̴͚̽s̵̻͐t̷͐ͅe̷̯͠n̴̤̚t̵̻̅i̵͉̿a̴̮͊l̵͍̂ ̴̹̕D̵̤̀e̸͓͂t̵̢͂e̴͕̓c̸̗̄t̴̗̿ï̶̪v̷̲̍é̵͔
Posts: 980
0 votes RE: Am I actually an idiot?
Do you think you have THAT kind of intelligence?

Sales intelligence?

Yes, probably. What do I need to do to prove it? 

Im very anti-stingy and Ive helped many people financially. I'm not sure if I could sell something that I thought wasnt worth it, because I'd feel guilty over being deceptive. I'm very good at selling things that I think are worth it, though, including myself.

 

For example, a simple exercise is “sell me this pen”. I have never (not yet) formally learned how to do it.

Lol. 

Do you need a pen?

 

I don’t know I think I would say something like “a famous person XYZ uses this exact type pen”. That’s all I got.

That's hilarious.

@Spatial would you like to try to sell me the pen "ofvalue" is talking about? See if you can prove how intelligent you are.

Or we can try to both sell it to someone neutral, like Turncoat. He then chooses whose pen he will buy. Deal?

 

Am I actually an idiot?

Yes, but being meticulous helps with hiding it. 

Why would I hide it? If I'm an idiot I want the world to know. 

My wife jokes that my workplace hasn't found out my true nature yet. 

 

Is anything objective in a temporary universe? The more you try to beat out answers the more emptiness comes to fill that hole.

I kept wondering about that but, you know, at the end of the day, I accept plenty of things as objective. No amount of philosophizing is going to truly convince me that I'm a brain in a vat. When it actually comes down to it, my own nature and true beliefs prevent me from "actually" believing that nothing is objective. The whole thing is a game. Once Hitler comes with gestapo theres zero chance you're going to hold on to your belief, because really nobody truly believes it.

When people say objective, you understand what they mean, no?

last edit on 6/13/2026 4:19:54 PM
Posts: 980
0 votes RE: Am I actually an idiot?

Turncoat, if I sell you my pen, what do I get in return?

last edit on 6/13/2026 4:11:50 PM
Posts: 212
0 votes RE: Am I actually an idiot?

You Can Make Free Money on Polymarket if you know Math article in NYTimes. Can you explain it to me, Jada, or maybe I would understand it if the article were not behind a paywall.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/06/12/upshot/kalshi-polymarket-prediction-markets-arbitrage.html

Posts: 212
0 votes RE: Am I actually an idiot?

I told ChatGPT I think it’s this based on the article available to me: 

I think it’s a linear algebraic equation inequality probably like amount 1 at x rate greater than or equal to amount 2 at y rate to get a profit? Thats what I think anyway)

 

 

Source: New York Times: Take Ryan Noel. He worked as an actuary after college but quit last year to arbitrage-bet (or “arb,” as he calls it) full time. He has made more than $1 million since late 2023, almost entirely on live sporting events. “I don’t care about sports at all,” said Noel, 25. “I think watching sports is the most boring thing you can do with your time. I’m a mathematician.” The math is pretty basic. It involves finding two sites with different odds for the same bet. Then you buy one position on one site, and the opposite position on the other site. Because of the disparity, you’ll turn a profit when the bets resolve — regardless of the game’s outcome. When done correctly, and fast enough, there’s almost no way to lose; it’s that elusive free lunch. But more and more Wall Street institutions are pouncing on the opportunity, deploying armies of bots to arb for them in fractions of a second. That speed and volume makes the disparities on prediction sites disappear almost instantly, which in turn makes it harder for human bettors like Noel.

last edit on 6/14/2026 12:23:45 PM
Posts: 212
0 votes RE: Am I actually an idiot?

From ChatGPT:

 

For a few seconds, you might see:

48¢+47¢=95¢

48¢+47¢=95¢

instead of

50¢+50¢=100¢

50¢+50¢=100¢

or

52¢+48¢=100¢

52¢+48¢=100¢

The arbitrageur's job is simply to find those temporary mismatches and buy both sides before they disappear.

The reason firms use bots is that a human sees "95¢ total cost" and thinks "free 5¢." A computer sees it in a few milliseconds and buys thousands of shares before the human can click.

So the mathematics is mostly just:

Cost of all mutually exclusive outcomes<Guaranteed payoutCost of all mutually exclusive outcomes<Guaranteed payoutWhenever that inequality holds, there's an arbitrage opportunity. The difficult part is finding it and executing fast enough.

Posts: 212
0 votes RE: Am I actually an idiot?

I THINK I NEED TO SEE THE DIAGRAMS FROM THE ARTICLE to know if I could make a million doing this before the bots erase the opportunities 

last edit on 6/14/2026 12:40:09 PM
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