Of course I would invest in bitcoin if I had a time machine, if I knew the valuation goes up. However, it wouldn't have been possible to know that back then.
The earliest adopters got it good.
So if we store the toilet paper in a vault and just electronically count whose toilet paper it is, it would be essentially identical to bitcoin then?
That would be flimsy and insecure. You would have to use blockchain technology to secure it and tokenize each roll of toilet paper. If you have 1 million rolls then you will make 1 million tokens. You can increase the supply accordingly over time depending on the nature of your smart contract. Code if you will. The protocol will have to then peg the price of each token to the toilet paper. This has been done with the USD, and I saw one project that pegged tokens to steel.
The organizations that peg tokens have a way of making money off of it, but I never really looked into how as I have no interest in doing it myself.
Last year or the year before when big tech had issues with banks, Stable coins got unpegged and crashed due to banking error. It was fixed a day later, and it would've been a great in the heat of the moment.
Im not in principle against the idea of crypto as a medium of exchange to replace fiat currency. However, to this end, bitcoin does not seem like the way to go.
Only God's currency is good to back anything. Which is Gold and other precious metals. Replacing fiat with Bitcoin itself isn't possible for a few reasons, but this technology absolutely can become a digital ledgar. If a nation creates a digital currency, it will be centralized and won't be a good thing.
CBDC - Central Bank Digital Currency. Trust me we don't want this. You wouldn't be able to have a yard sale without being taxed. Every single penny you receive will need some kind of explanation. Our ability to make purchases can get zoned and allocated, and they'll have the power to freeze and disable your funds like they do now, but in a worse way since a CBDC would make society cashless.
In fact, I have a friend who currently has hundreds of millions in bitcoin, maybe more. Around 2010, maybe a bit after, I told him that he's crazy for holding onto bitcoin. I believe this was around the time bitcoin was worth around 70 usd or so. He said he'll never sell. He was being played by an actor in the Julian Assange movie in a few scenes. He explained to me that he's holding onto the idea of crypto taking over as the worldwide currency. I still hold the view that my advice to him was wise, because he had no real reason to bet on it beyond idealism.
Your friend then has what traders call a strong hand.
Say your friend has $500,000,000 in BTC He got it in 2010 ( At the time BTC was $0.06 to $0.29. For real. )
Then a whale investor just getting in buys $500,000,000, so now he has the same amount of Bitcoin as your friend.
Your friend has = A Strong Hand ( Due to growth )
The Investor has = A Weak Hand ( No growth )
If Bitcoin crashed 75% like it did over and over again in the course of it's lifetime, Your friend is still laughing. He bought it for peanuts, or he mined it. In 2010 BTC was 1 year old and the mining difficulty was so low, people where mining them on Pentium 4 processors, as opposed to the ASIC miners which are retardedly fast in the high terahashes.
Using this model of 500 million worth of BTC. Y
our friend would have 4912.8 BTC Okay....
So his capital investment would have been..... $294.77 at 6 cents per coin. We can do this at 29 cents, but c'mon Even with a capital of $1,000 dollars, it turning into generational wealth is the best he'll ever do financially in his life.
As it's been for the past 15 years since he got it, it's best that he never followed anyone's advice and sold it.
In this regard, bitcoin has been adopted very widely, so you could say it's successful in that regard. It still doesnt justify its value, 100k. One could easily replace bitcoin with another crypto currency. The value is driven by speculation, not by utility.
It's value is driven by the price impact of, supply and demand in a fair market. Panic sellers causes the price to drop, while buying it up causes the price to increase. It's value is justified because, get this... Bitcoin's market HAS THE LIQUIDITY for fuck sakes.
At this very moment ( as it's subject to change ) This is Bitcoin's market cap
$2,024,543,421,621
Bitcoin is bigger than Russia and some other nations right now, okay.
It is also 57% of the whole 3.7 trillion dollar crypto space. There are other blockchains and coins and tokens in this space, more advanced than Bitcoin. The space certainly dilutes BTC's value, but it's still the king of cryptocurrencies.
People are not betting on the future of bitcoin as a worldwide currency, they are betting on the hope that they can sell the bitcoin at a higher value in the future. Everyone is. How is that different from the working principle of a ponzi scheme where you hope that you can gain money by recruiting people under you? It works until we run out of people to recruit.
Bitcoin wouldn't handle being a world currency, it's tps is way too low. The Solana blockchain can probably do it, as it can run circles around VISA in terms of transactions per second.
It's simply marketing. If you buy something and it goes down in value, you're supposed to keep it. Take it to the grave if you must. People who say they lost money in BTC over the years are kicking themselves for selling it for less than they got it for, due to fear, uncertainty and doubt.
My advice is this ship sailed. Let it go. People missed the boat. From here to a million is just a 10x. Yes one day, 0.001 BTC will be life changing. There are other cryptocurrencies that outperform Bitcoin at this point in time. If you want a lot of Bitcoin for some reason, use altcoins.
Will bitcoin become a worldwide currency to replace fiat? Highly unlikely.
Not possible. The blockchain will melt. And by this I mean it will be retardedly slow to where it doesn't seem to move.
There'll be a big pop, and then countries will start to regulate it, wars will start, and then perhaps countries will collectively agree on a crypto currency, it will not be bitcoin because that would be unfair to people who do actual work, and then to appease all the folks who hold their life savings in bitcoin, they can exchange the money to this new accepted currency, and we will be back to our old system.
Unfair. Don't crack me up. "Okay Bitcoin holders ! the world is going to decide on something else now ! We're going to rob you now ! Need to make this fair !"
It's fair when someone is wealthier than you are. Period.
The Chinese already have a digital yuan. The US has speculated it, but Trump ( Pro crypto btw) is opposed to CDBC's like a fucking champ.
Cryptocurrencies are great for being decentralized. It has no geolocation. We needn't even move it. We can delete a wallet and restore it anywhere in the world and the funds are there.
Bitcoin will be Bitcoin until the end. It has market value, it has high liquidity. It has a demand. I mean when you sell it, it literally goes poof in 2 seconds and you see your money ready to be sent to the bank.
If it's an obscene amount of BTC being sold, the order will obviously take time to complete while shit tons of money keeps rolling in all day. That too will crash the market so the order will need to be instructed to sell at the current price, which is a bad way to liquidate a fortune of BTC.